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Market Hedging

Real-Time Protection

Evaluates multi-factor market flip signals and suggests optimal macro Put option hedges for total portfolio protection.

Benchmark:

58%

Flip Risk

Caution / Soft Reversal

Confidence Index: 72%

Market Flip Analysis — SPY

Current Price: $733.00 (-4.41%)

Updated 11:46 AM

Market conditions on SPY show moderate divergence or softening momentum (58%). Consider setting put triggers or low-cost collars for vulnerable holdings.

Hedging Recommendation:

Stage 92-95% OTM Put limit orders or Collar strategies to hedge high-beta stock positions.

Simulate Tail Hedge

Market Flip Sub-Indicator Signals

Moving Average Cross75%

Price: $733.00 | SMA50: $766.40

Trading below 50-day moving average indicating medium-term bearish trend.

DeMark Reversal (TD)20%

TD Buy Setup: 5/9 (4 days remaining)

No active buyer exhaustion top signal detected.

RSI Momentum Reversal70%

RSI(14): 33.5

Weakening momentum favors downside risks.

MACD Momentum Shift75%

Hist: -2.734

Bearish MACD histogram cross signals accelerating downside momentum.

GARCH Volatility Regime85%

Curr Vol: 39.78% | Baseline: 20.66%

Elevated volatility regime signals heightened market flip and downside risk.

Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast48%

3M Forecast: -1.93% | Model Precision: 81.7%

Hybrid ensemble forecast indicates constructive trend (-1.93% return, precision 81.7%).

12-Week Option Walls & OI Horizon22%

Front Call: $750.00 | Front Put: $735.00 (12-Wk Corridor)

Front Call Wall at $750.00 creates overhead dealer resistance, Put Wall at $735.00 provides downside support across 12-week horizon.

Option Volume & OI Turning Point Analysis

12-Friday Forward Horizon

Spot PriceSpot

$733.00

Baseline: Current market price

Front Call WallResistance

$750.00

Distance: +2.3%

Front Put WallSupport Floor

$735.00

Distance: +0.3%

12-Wk CorridorRange

$50 - $900

Span: $850(±58.0%)

🛡️ Macro Portfolio Put Protection Radar

Calculates real-time protective index hedging strategies for the overall portfolio based on market flip signals and weighted portfolio Beta.

📅 Target Expiry:2026-12-21

⏱️ Buy Trigger:Set alert: Execute macro hedge if Market Flip Score crosses 65%.

30-60 Day Option Horizon

Option Distribution Liquidity Radar (SPY)

Liquidity Wall Aligned

🛡️ Downside Put Wall $700.00

OI: 0 contracts

🧱 Overhead Call Wall $780.00

OI: 39,595 contracts

🎯 Max Pain Pinning $760.00

Target Pinning Strike

📊 Call / Put OI Ratio0.29

Institutional Sentiment

No Macro Portfolio Hedge Available

Add holdings to your portfolio to generate macro put hedging recommendations.